In 2014, weather presenter Evelyne Dhéliat did something unusual in her meteorology-dedicated space on the famous French network TF1. It forecasts temperatures by 2050, issuing a warning about what the growing threat of climate change will mean in the future. 40°C in Paris, 41°C in Toulouse, 42°C in Lyon and 43°C in Nîmes: the report was not entirely fictitious as it was so seriously designed by Météo France: We’re coming in. It’s like this every four summers in France,” the presenter later said.
We won’t have to wait until 2050 for that to happen. Temperatures today, June 15, 2022, are very close to what Dhéliat mentioned. Yes, 30 years earlier than expected.
extreme temperatures. France is expected to experience a devastating heatwave this week in mid-June, hitting the south of the country with 38 degrees Celsius. Before real summer enters, France and parts of Europe are about to suffocate in scorching temperatures. Temperatures have already been felt in some French cities this week, with 36.2°C in the shade in Marseille, 35.4°C in Montpellier, 34.8°C in Perpignan and 36°C in Paris. At its highest point, the thermometer can reach 40°C in Lyon.
It’s a growing phenomenon. Experts warn that heat waves are occurring earlier and more often. In other words, temperatures started to reach their maximum levels in June, when they were not normally recorded until July or August. And this intensification of heatwaves is nothing more than the most obvious manifestation of global warming caused by climate change. This is where we humans play a role.
To put it in context: Since the beginning of the 21st century, France has experienced extreme heatwaves, particularly in Vérargues in June 2019, with an absolute temperature record of 46°C. “Except in Corsica, the 40°C threshold has never been observed before 18 June,” said Gaétan Heymes, Météo-France meteorologist.
The situation in Spain. What happened in our country has no name. The first heat wave of summer placed 15 autonomous communities of Andalusia, Aragon, Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Extremadura, Madrid and Catalonia under an orange warning for high temperatures. This is the earliest wave to affect Spain as there are records and also busiest for mid-June in at least the last 20 years.
The figures recorded with thermometers are unimaginable: 68 Aemet observatory It was measured above 40°C on Monday. In Córdoba it reached almost 43ºC, as in Ciudad Real and Jaén. Granada reached 41.1ºC and Albacete 40.6ºC. The highest temperatures were 42.6°C in Villarrobledo (Albacete), 42.3°C in Talavera de la Reina (Toledo) and 42°C in Granada. Temperatures above 40ºC are expected in Valladolid, Zamora and Madrid for today, and above 42ºC in Zaragoza and Seville.
This isn’t the first time fact has been stranger than fiction. It’s amazing how we think weather events are going to change and how they actually change as we approach critical dates. A while ago, we researched on Magnet what version even the most extreme predictions are. Light because we live.
In a 2007 BBC documentary narrated by David Attenborough, Climate Change – England Under Threatresearched what would happen to the UK in the future if the global warming trend continued. To do this, he recreated situations with extreme temperatures in the future and entry In dates not as far away as 2020 or 2030. They predict the “hypothetical” weather for summer 2020 with a “scorching temperature” of +30 ºC. Well, it was not even necessary to get to the date. Two years ago, London, Birmingham and Liverpool were facing a summer of 31ºC and 33ºC daily highs.
What can we learn from this? That the warnings of scientists and climate experts are justified in their distant warnings for 2007 and 2014. same situation both TF1 meteorologist Evelyne Dhéliat and Attenborough were drawing at the time. Sometimes even worse. And in almost everything we can say has not yet come, we will certainly fall short.