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What will be at stake in Argentina in the next elections?

  • October 20, 2023
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Argentina will celebrate presidential elections on October 22.in an election in which three candidates – the ultra-liberal, the current Minister of Economy of the Peronist government and the

What will be at stake in Argentina in the next elections?

Argentina will celebrate presidential elections on October 22.in an election in which three candidates – the ultra-liberal, the current Minister of Economy of the Peronist government and the candidate of the center-right coalition – are fighting step by step to achieve the Casa Rosada.

Below are the highlights of the election:

WHERE AND WHEN?

The election will take place on Sunday 22 October and voting centers will be open. from 8:00 local time to 18:00. Preliminary results do not have a set release time, and the law prohibits dissemination of forecasts before 9:00 pm local time.

In Argentina, voting is compulsory for people from 18 to 70 years old and optionally for persons aged 16 to 17 years and for persons over 70 years of age. 2023 Election Register 35.4 million people. Argentines living abroad can also vote.

To win, a candidate must receive more than 45% of votes cast or overcome the barrier of 40% of the vote with a difference of more than 10 percentage points with the second force.

If neither of these scenarios materializes, the two candidates with the most votes will determine the election results in a “runoff” on Sunday, November 19th.

WHAT IS VOTING?

Argentines will vote for the country’s new president and vice president, who will take office on December 10 and rule the country for four years. until the end of 2027.

The elections will also elect a total of 130 national deputies from all of Argentina’s provinces and a total of 24 national senators from eight provinces. The Argentine National Congress consists of a lower house of 257 representatives and an upper house of 72 representatives.

WHO ARE THE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES?

Three main candidates: Javier Miley, 52-year-old economist from the libertarian party La Libertad Avanza (LLA); Sergio Massa, the 51-year-old economics minister of the ruling Union for the Motherland (UP) coalition; And Patricia BullrichThe 67-year-old former security minister of the centre-right coalition Together for Change (JxC).

There are five candidates in total for Argentina’s presidency, although Miley, Massa and Bullrich are leading in the polls and appear competitive to win the vote.

The other two candidates are Peronist dissident Juan Schiaretti of the Jacemos per Nuestro Pais party and Miriam Bregman of the left-wing coalition Front de Izquierda.

WHAT’S IN THE GAME?

Argentina’s next elections are shaping up to be the most uncertain in decades due to the narrow margin between the three main candidates and the enormous challenges the next government will face.

Whoever is elected will face the difficult task of rebuilding an economy that has been plagued by triple-digit inflation, negative net foreign exchange reserves, a currency whose exchange rate to the dollar registers a 200% gap to the informal market rate and for Monetary Fund purposes. . agreement for 44 billion dollars.

Photo: Reuters

The radical proposals by Miley, the top vote-getter in August’s primaries, add to uncertainty over the future of struggling Argentina. political “shock” after his unexpected promotion.

Miley, who until two years was little more than a theatrical economic commentator on television, has promised that if he takes office, he will carry out a political and economic restructuring hitherto unprecedented in Argentina’s history, which includes the dollarization of its economy, the elimination of the central bank and a sharp decline in the role of the state.

Meanwhile, the candidacy of Massa, a moderate Peronist, illustrates a strong reorganization within Argentina’s most powerful political party since the middle of the last century, driven by the removal of powerful center-left Vice President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner from the center stage after nearly two decades of dominance.

FORECASTS

Less than two weeks before the election, polls show that there will be no winner in the first round and that the most likely scenario is determination in the “second round” between Mile and Massa, in which the redirection of Bullrich’s votes will play a fundamental role.

None of Argentina’s pollsters expected La Libertad Avanza to win the open primary in August, when most analysts had Milley in third place, and the election to be fought between Peronism and Together for Change.

Reuters

Source: Aristegui Noticias

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