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He ECFR think tank research (European Council on Foreign Relations) shows that anti-European populists will top polls in nine member states: Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, France, Hungary,
He ECFR think tank research (European Council on Foreign Relations) shows that anti-European populists will top polls in nine member states: Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, France, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland and Slovakia. They are expected to finish second or third in nine other countries: Bulgaria, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Latvia, Portugal, Romania, Spain and Sweden.
This shift to the right is likely to have important consequences for European politics. Primarily on environmental issues, such as the implementation of the next phase of the Green Deal, and the adoption and implementation of common policies aimed at achieving the European Union’s (EU) net zero emissions targets.
In the current parliament, the center-left coalition tends to win on these issues, but often by very narrow margins. A significant shift to the right in the new parliament will mean that the anti-climate coalition is likely to dominate.
Despite the possible victory, these groups have very different compositions and do not always agree with each other, even on immigration, which should be a common ground, or Russia on expansion and support for Ukraine. This can have important implications when it comes to civil liberties, justice and home affairs.
This is a setback for the Socialists and Democrats, for the centrist European Renewal group, which includes Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance party, and a setback for the Greens. Identity and Democracy, a far-right group that includes the French National Rally (RN), the Alternative for Germany (AfD) and the Eurosceptic Conservatives and Reformists of Europe (CRE), as well as the Polish Law and Justice (PiS) party Fratelli. d ‘Italy and Vox in Spain will strengthen their positions.
While the national debate ahead of the June 2024 elections will not affect the composition of member state governments, it will influence the positions that heads of state and government feel able to take in the months and years following the elections. The main outcome of the elections in many member states could be the success of anti-establishment populist parties.
RFI
Source: Aristegui Noticias
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