The exit poll suggested that Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa lost two of the eleven questions in the referendum he called this Sunday, where, according to this poll, he won the questions on strengthen the fight against organized crimeor failed in those that referred to international arbitrations and hourly contracts.

A poll conducted by Infinity Estrategas estimates that the issue of allowing international arbitration in any jurisdiction received 59.44% of valid votes against, compared to 40.56% in favor, while the issue of making employment contracts more flexible registered 65.91% of votes against and 34.09. % in favor.

According to the exit poll, the remaining questions received support from 70.64% to 81.91% of the votes, while the vote against the remaining nine questions ranged from 18.09% to 29.36%.

The question that received the most support (around 82%) suggested that the Armed Forces should continuously support the police in operations against organized crime without the need to declare a state of emergency for this purpose.

There was also support for allowing the extradition of Ecuadorians sought by courts in other countries and the creation of a system of courts specializing in constitutional issues.

Likewise, “yes” won on questions that propose tougher penalties for organized crime offenses, as well as eliminating prison benefits for those convicted of some of these crimes so they can serve their entire sentences in prison.

Similarly, proposals to have the Armed Forces control access to prisons, to criminalize the possession and carrying of weapons intended exclusively for police and military use, and to equip government forces with confiscated weapons have received public support from organized crime. .

Another issue won by the government was allowing the immediate expropriation of illicit assets as a tool to combat money laundering networks of criminal organizations.

Latam 360 Radar Analysis

Ecuador’s president enjoys broad popular support for his fight against crime, but a challenge to Lopez Obrador and a severe energy crisis intersect with his plans to pave the way for victory in the 2025 presidential election.

The National Electoral Council (CNE) estimates that preliminary results will begin to be published approximately two hours after voting ends.

This Sunday, April 21, in the national poll and referendum, Ecuadorians will have eleven issues on the ballot, most of them related to the security sector. The newsletter is two-color, gray-pink, A3 format.

The questions are designated by letters from A to K and are arranged in the following order: five referendum questions, that is, those related to amendments to the Constitution, will be in the orange part; and the six popular counseling questions are in grey.

Below are eleven questions:

Question A: “Do you agree to allow additional support for the Armed Forces in the functions of the National Police in the fight against organized crime, partly by reforming the Constitution?”

Question B: “Do you agree with allowing the extradition of Ecuadorians, subject to the conditions, requirements, restrictions and obstacles established in the Constitution, international instruments and law, amending the Constitution and reforming laws in accordance with Annex 1?”

Question C: “Do you agree with the creation of judicial bodies specialized in constitutional issues, both in the first and second instance, to familiarize themselves with the jurisdictional guarantees corresponding to them, amend the Constitution and reform the Organic Law on Jurisdictional Guarantees and Constitutional Review, in accordance with Appendix 2?

Question D: “Do you agree that the Ecuadorian State recognizes international arbitration as a method for resolving investment, contractual or commercial disputes?”

Question E: “Do you agree with amending the Constitution of the Republic and reforming the Labor Code for a fixed-term and hourly employment contract when it is first concluded between the same employer and employee, without prejudice to the acquired rights of workers? , in accordance with Appendix 4?

Ask F: “Do you agree that the Armed Forces exercise control over weapons, ammunition, explosives and accessories at all times, on routes, trails, roads and corridors permitted for entry into social rehabilitation centers?”

Question G: “Do you agree with tougher penalties for crimes such as (i) terrorism and its financing, (ii) illegal production and trafficking of controlled substances, (iii) organized crime, (iv) murder, (v) hitmen, (vi) ) human trafficking, (vii) kidnapping for ransom, (viii) arms trafficking, (ix) money laundering and (x) illegal resource extraction activities, reform of the Comprehensive Organic Penal Code in accordance with the Annex to the question?

Question N: “Do you agree that people deprived of liberty serve their entire sentence in a social rehabilitation center for the crimes specified in the Annex to the question, reforming the General Organic Penal Code, as stated in the above-mentioned Annex?”

Question I: “Do you agree with the criminalization of the crime of possessing or carrying weapons, ammunition or components intended exclusively for the use of the Armed Forces or the National Police, without affecting firearms authorized for civilian use, reforming the Comprehensive Organic Penal Code in accordance with the Annex to the question ?

Question J: “Do you agree that weapons, parts or parts thereof, explosives, ammunition or accessories that have been instruments or material objects of a crime may be put into immediate use by the national police or armed forces, reforming the Comprehensive Organic Penal Code in accordance with in the appendix to the question?

Question K: “Do you agree that the State becomes the holder (owner) of assets of illegal or unjustified origin, simplifying the procedure of the Organic Law on Asset Confiscation, according to the annex to the question?” (HEY)

Information: EFE.