Since Broadcom began licensing VMware, Gartner says the migration from virtual to physical, known as “devirtualization,” has increased.
According to analyst firm Gartner, bare metal is making a comeback. In its 2024 “Hype Cycle for Datacenter Infrastructure,” the brand warns against devirtualization. The trend is the result of Broadcom’s takeover of VMware. What followed was a path of misery for all VMware customers.
“As on-premises virtualization projects move from Enterprise License Agreement (ELA) and perpetual licensing to new bundling, socket-to-core ratios and consumption models, costs and prices could increase two- to three-fold,” Gartner said of The Register.
It is difficult for enterprises to justify this cost for some large workloads, which, according to Gartner, “cannot benefit from the same increase in density and cost savings as consolidating small workloads.”
Gartner expects that devirtualization can help, but also warns of the disadvantages. “Consider the cost and complexity of purchasing and deploying bare-metal systems that provide the same resiliency as a virtualized environment.”
In its Hype Cycle, Gartner says that one percent of companies are eligible for devirtualization today, and the technology is expected to mature within five to ten years.
Revirtualization breaks the hype
Migrating to new hypervisors, which Gartner calls “revirtualization,” is a technology that has passed its hype peak and is useful for five to twenty percent of organizations.
“Revirtualization is typically undertaken to address a technical deficiency or to address a profitability or commercial risk,” explains the Hype Cycle. “Such efforts can increase total cost of ownership, introduce immature administration and management tools, impose additional operational burdens, or cause reliability issues.”
Still, Gartner believes these risks can be worth it. The intention is to “offset the burden of increased auditing and contract issues that result from incumbent providers moving to subscription models.”
Edge computing is in trouble
The technologies at the peak of the hype are circular economy in IT, net-zero data centers, consumption-based models for on-prem and hybrid IT, and direct-to-chip (D2C) liquid cooling.
Edge computing is moving toward what it calls the “nadir of disillusionment.” Gartner claims the technology has not delivered on its promises. Infrastructure automation and immersion cooling are in the same boat. Composable infrastructure has also passed its peak.