world population will reach its ‘ in this centurypeak maximumabout a year 2080 yearand then it will begin rejectto such an extent that in 2100 it will lose 700 million inhabitants, a decrease of 6%.

In his report ‘“World Population Prospects 2024”‘, prepared by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, estimates that the world’s population will grow to 8.2 billion today. 10.3 billionand it will be ‘beak‘ maximum before you start to fall.

causes of what population decline relatively close several, but among all of them low birth rate the world’s largest economies, especially China -where the fertility rate is less than 1.4 children per woman-.

On average, women in the world Today they have one less child. per woman of childbearing age than in 1990.

Other reasons are related to reduction in mortality and one longer life expectancywhich, after the Covid-19 epidemic, has risen again to the level 73.3 years. It is estimated that by the end of the 1950s, more than half of the population will die after reaching the age of 80 years old.

Generally, lowest population This good newsbecause it means “a lowest environmental pressure anthropogenic impact due to lower aggregate consumption,” said Li Junhua, deputy secretary-general for economic and social affairs.

He ‘peak population already achieved in 63 countriesalmost all the so-called ‘designed world‘, among them China, Germany, Russia And Japanand in them Net population decline of 14%; in another group of countries, where Brazil And Iranthis “peak” will occur between now and 2054; Finally, in the remaining 126 countries, this peak will not be reached until the second half of the century.

In this last group countries that will continue to grow in the population for decades India, Pakistan, Indonesia, Nigeria and – curiously – USA.

You might be interested>Covid-19 still killing 1,700 people a week: WHO

In 50 countries of the world it will be emigration which will help mitigate the consequences population decline and increasingly older: the arrival of emigrants will increase the birth rate and somewhat rejuvenate the average age of the population.

By the end of the next decade of the seventies, the world will more people over 65 than those under 18 years of age, and more elderly people (over 80 years of age) than infants under one year of age.

EFE