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[Síguenos ahora también en WhatsApp. Da clic aquí] Republican White House candidate, former President Donald Trumpgained a lead in the polls over her Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harrisand
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Republican White House candidate, former President Donald Trumpgained a lead in the polls over her Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harrisand the November 5 election looks set to be the closest in a century USA.
The candidacy of Harris, who replaced the president Joe Biden After he surrendered in July, he initially generated a lot of enthusiasm, which was reflected in the polls, but Trump managed to erase that lead 16 days before the election.
According to the latest portal forecast FiveThirtyEight based on polling averages published nationally and in key states, Trump gains slight lead over Harris and has a 52% chance of winning the November 5 election.
While Democrat leads the national vote, Republicans are favored Electoral collegea system under which states award a certain number of electoral votes to the winning candidate.
Two weeks ago, the same portal’s forecast gave Harris a 58% chance of defeating Trump.
Although the Republican Party has gained momentum in recent weeks, the situation is so tense that chances of winning each of the two candidates is almost equivalent to flipping a coin.
The difference between Harris and Trump is less than two percentage points in seven crucial states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), so small statistical error may change the result.
Moreover, nationally, the vice president leads the former president by just two points, which is smaller than the margin between Biden and Trump on any given day of the 2020 campaign.
After this election, the Republican refused to admit defeat and advocated vote counting in some key states and several lawsuits that were rejected in court.
In 2000, the outcome of the election was in doubt until the Supreme Court gave victory to the Republican. George Bush about democrat Al Gore in Florida, which was then a key state.
But according to the portal FiveThirtyEightTo find the closest election results to what the polls show, we have to go back to 1876, when Republican Rutherford Hayes defeated Democrat Samuel Tilden by a single electoral vote: 185 to 184.
Trump and Harris battle it out in swing states
In such a complex scenario, every vote counts, and two candidates double their presence in seven decisive stateswhere in some cases early voting with high participation.
Rhetoric and crossfire between them also increased as a result of attacks and insults.
Trump suggested this week that he would be willing to use the military against the United States’ “domestic enemies,” an apparent reference to his political rivals. Harris called her opponent a “fascist” and “upset.”
The vice president decided to raise the tone against Trump in an attempt to reinvigorate her campaign, which was also joined by former Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, as well as the former first lady. Michelle Obama to give it new impetus.
The Republican is in Pennsylvania this Sunday, where he is expected to visit McDonald’s and from there accuse Harris of inventing that he worked for the fast-food chain in his youth.
For her part, the Democratic nominee, who turns 60 today, is in Georgia ahead of a trip to Pennsylvania, where she will campaign tomorrow with Liz Cheney, the former Republican congresswoman who opposes Trump.
EFE
Source: Aristegui Noticias
As an experienced journalist and author, Mary has been reporting on the latest news and trends for over 5 years. With a passion for uncovering the stories behind the headlines, Mary has earned a reputation as a trusted voice in the world of journalism. Her writing style is insightful, engaging and thought-provoking, as she takes a deep dive into the most pressing issues of our time.
