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Race for presidential seat in Uruguay announced close. The left-wing candidate from the Broad Front won the first round. Yamandu Orsi he received 43.7% of the votes, while the ruling party Alvaro Delgado He arrived in the second round with 26.9%. Experts predict a difficult and uncertain ending, as confirmed by political scientist Adolfo Garce, professor of political science Republican University of Montevideowhich explains that this will be a very competitive election.

“It is very difficult to predict what will happen because the government coalition could be re-elected with candidate Álvaro Delgado, who was the right hand of President Luis Lacalla Pou during these years, but it could also happen that the Amplio Front arrived, which is the largest party in the country. whose candidate is Yamandu Orsi and could win in the second round, but We’re actually talking about a 20 or 30 thousand vote difference between them.Garce pointed out.

Everything will depend on where the votes of the remaining candidates participating in the first round go, a complex addition and subtraction that leave everything in the hands of the undecided this could be decided after assessing the leadership of the current government, that is, the Lacalla Pou government.

For a political scientist, Lacaglia Pou’s mandate was very positive: “the government managed to reduce inflation, manage the pandemic reasonably well, especially in 2020, and carry out a difficult reform of the social security system. This government has some merits and that is why it can be re-elected.– he pointed out.

However, Garce admits that not everything was positive And? The ruling party may lose elections on other issues: “These years have been very difficult, although the government has handled the pandemic well, there has been a decline in production, an increase in poverty, accumulated social problems, as well as some scandals related to allegations of corruption, which also affect the election campaign. activities of the ruling parties,” he added.

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Orsi confirms his promises precisely in the integrity of his future government, but not only Delgado and Orsi do not propose radical policy changes this countryleast prone to convulsions in South America. There may or may not be a political change, but one thing is clear: no one will change the Uruguayan rhythm.

Garce argues that in fact the replacement is already open and there is confidence in the electoral system. “Frente Amplio has already ruled Uruguay for 15 years, then this center-right coalition, which can be re-elected, ruled for 5 years. It could be 8:30 or 9:00 pm on a Sunday night and we still don’t know who the president is. In any case, no one ever disputes an election in this country. no one thinks it could be a scam. The country’s electoral system is unusually reliable, and citizens trust the results. Even if there is a difference of 10 thousand votes, there will be no problems,” he assures.

It is not necessary to win this round. get half plus one of the votes castbut this is enough to get the most votes.

RFI