Without much stronger environmental policies, greenhouse gas emissions will continue to increase beyond 2025, potentially leading to global warming. 3.2 degrees around 2100Although the goal is not to exceed 1.5 degrees, a new UN report warns.

Global net emissions should fall by 43% in 2030 compared to 2019. Same way, to fall 84% by 2050 To reach the goal of 1.5 degrees. Even if this is achieved, the temperature is likely to temporarily exceed the limit and then begin to drop. This is stated in the report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

The document underlines that even if countries comply with their emission reduction commitments, the planet’s temperature rise will be adversely affected. 2.8 degrees at the end of the century to pre-industrial levels (1850).

The text estimates that the world could reach carbon neutrality (zero net emissions) by the middle of this century. This means reduce current emissions by 50%.

Most of the scenarios considered emphasize that the goal of limiting global warming will not be achieved before the second half of the century.

In 2019, carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gas emissions amounted to 59 gigatons, 12% higher than in 2010. However, it is also emphasized in the report that the rate of increase has slowed compared to the 2000-2009 period.

Never before seen figures

Average annual emissions in 2010-2019 were higher than in the previous decade.

Between 2010 and 2019, the world emitted almost one-sixth (17%) of the emissions accumulated during the industrial era (since 1850). According to the IPCC, only emits about 20% More global warming to reach the goal of not exceeding 1.5 degrees.

According to the experts who prepared the document, the completion of which was delayed nine months due to the pandemic, the health crisis allowed for a momentary reduction. Heat fell 5.8% year-on-year in emissions in the first half of 2020. However, the strong recovery at the end of the year nullified its positive effects.

About 34% of emissions in 2019 corresponds to the energy sector, 24% to industry, 22% to agriculture, 15% to transportation and 6% to construction.

Metin emphasizes that emissions from the energy and industrial sectors slowed their growth in the examined decade, but remained stable in transportation. The report also covers urban areas. 70% of emissionsan increasing rate.

By regions, East Asia currently concentrated at 17% To be the leading region in this indicator of global emissions. This is followed by North America (12%), Latin America and the Caribbean (10%). They close Africa and Southeast Asia (9% each), South Asia and Western Europe (8% each).

However, the emissions of the industrial age that began in 1850 are the largest historical sources of emissions, accumulating 23% in North America, 16% in Europe, 12% in East Asia and 11% in Latin America.

If the commitments made at the Glasgow Climate Change Conference are met, they will reduce 4 to 7 gigatons of CO2 emissions. The figure is still far from the 20 gigatons needed to keep the global temperature rise by 1.5 degrees.