Imagine seeing a news headline on Webtekno one day; ”An artificial intelligence has been developed that sees your future and makes very accurate predictions: it can even predict why you will die!”

Okay, maybe the cause of death was a bit exaggerated, but the idea of ​​an artificial intelligence that can predict the future is like ‘We can no longer say ‘I don’t believe in life’.… And what does science say about it? Artificial intelligence will one day see the future Can it offer a “fortune teller” service? Can he see the future of humanity? Let’s take a closer look at that.

Nowadays there are already computers that make consistent predictions.

I don’t think you’re very surprised by that. How the matches will end A company or operation that gives odds on who will be the winner, forecasts the weather, provides reports with calculations in the fields of economics, finance and marketing. calculating the probability of successcalculating the probability of a person contracting a disease… For too many examples we can’t think of right now, computers are already doing this.

But we go further andto know the future completely, with absolute accuracy‘, the answer is much more complex at that point.

Let’s explain this, if you will, while we’re on the agenda, on who will be the champion of the FIFA World Cup;

Today’s technology allows us to calculate who can win FIFA 2022. In fact, AIrsenal, the artificial intelligence developed by The Alan Turing Institute, has previously predicted correctly. He said Brazil has the best chance of becoming champions this year.

But here’s the critical point; Alrsenal, who has ‘learned’ all international matches held for almost 150 years and gained a lot of information about the teams, It has been run 100,000 times, so can only guess. This prediction is that Brazil will become champions with a percentage of 25%.

So there is no chance of knowing the champion 100% correctly?

To answer this question, it is necessary to first see how an artificial intelligence works in such processes.

Artificial intelligence needs data to answer any question for the future. The more detailed data he “learns”, the more likely his result will be correct. This data is then processed by a computer and presented with an interface. This is how the process works in its simplest form.

Here in this scenario, if we look at the FIFA 2022 preview again, More data is needed for the most accurate estimate.

The players in the teams, the injuries of these football players, their performance charts or their interaction and results with other football players, weather conditions, stadium data, ball data, match times, all information about all previous matches of the opponents. maybe even the number of spectators in the stadium There may be factors that affect the outcome of a match…

These are the ones that came to mind, there are certainly many more. However, one Despite all this data, the events that develop immediately and that cannot be predicted affect the outcome. For example, if the attacker of a team, whose injury rate is close to zero, suddenly gets injured, this is a scenario that artificial intelligence cannot calculate and influence the whole result.

Artificial intelligence will ultimately be unable to reach any other conclusion than with the data in hand, and the effect of unpredictable events will be influenced by this. probability of spoiling the outcome there is always.

The famous “algorithms” we call a lot are actually a kind of fortune telling, but…

Companies like Google, Meta how they collect our data and provide us with accurate advertising We often talk about it. Even though we know very well now, we remain stubbornly surprised saying, “It’s unbelievable, I thought I shouldn’t buy shoes until yesterday, but the ad came up, son!

Here, in fact, the algorithms of companies We see that he does a kind of ‘fortune telling’. Algorithms present the products we may buy in the future, the accounts we are likely to follow, and the events we are likely to attend. But right now, of course, there’s definitely a person in the background selecting that data and driving the algorithm.

In the future, thanks to the further development of these algorithms and access to more data, ‘automatic purchase’ systems are supposed to emerge. For example, algorithms that know when you pick up your phone take your user behavior into account. before you realize it, you know your phone is at the end of its life And again, knowing your habits, the most suitable phone for you will arrive at your door…

This example may have sounded strange because it included a question like “Would you like to spend my money without my knowledge and buy me a phone”, but the problem we’re focusing on it’s like the algorithms know your future by doing these things way before you do…

As result…

In the most general terms, a ‘computer’ tells us about everything. presenting ‘absolute truth’ and it is not possible to know our future with “absolute truths” by divination. In other words, it doesn’t seem possible to experience a situation like “you’ll know why you die,” which we mentioned at the beginning of the article.

But that doesn’t mean it can’t make very good predictions. As we explained above, the job ends with the data that ‘computer’ has. Already that an advanced algorithm is ‘more skilled’ than any fortune teller in the world. We can safely say.