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The collapse of the domestic car market – a declaration of defeat or anticipation of victory

  • September 23, 2022
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Statistics is good because it can be played as in the well-known saying with the law – that is like an adze. It turns out that the catastrophe

Statistics is good because it can be played as in the well-known saying with the law – that is like an adze. It turns out that the catastrophe with the Russian car industry can be viewed from very different sides, of which there are not even two, but more. Portal AvtoVzglyad found out how far balancing with numbers and facts can lead.

There is such an organization as the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA), which will celebrate its “fifty years” in a month’s time. She regularly publishes data on the number of new car registrations in the countries under her control, leading domestic experts to either horrify or delight, depending on the size of the numbers in her releases. Reactions also vary widely, from neutral to full of pain and sadness, from serious to sarcastic. It seems that the latter approach is the right one – nerves must be protected and humor prolongs life.

Here is an illustration. We were so selflessly killed by the tragic fate of the Russian car market that we lost sight of an important point brought to us by ACEA. And he should have filled our hearts with pride in the domestic auto industry. Of course, our country has not formally been a member for a long time, is not and will not be a member of associations such as the European Union or the European Free Trade Association. Therefore, it is only virtually possible to introduce Russia into the reviews compiled for them. But it is possible, because we have data for our own country.

So, according to the results of the first two months of this year – before the introduction of “infernal sanctions” – the Russian Federation was in fifth place among European countries in terms of the number of registered (in our case sold) new cars. As a result of the slump that overtook the domestic car market, we’re down according to aggregate data for January-August – no, not 10th, as you might think, but only 6th. Yes, the European market also fell, albeit not so much – by 12.2%.

Definitely leading the way: Germany with 1,643,069 registrations, the United Kingdom (so far) with 983,099, France with 970,000, Italy with 865,044 and Spain with 533,042 passenger cars. So rule our wretched 410,548 cars? It is possible to win in secret – well, we are not the worst, because despite the difficulties, we have bypassed 35 western rivals? Blow the trumpet, trumpeter!

Just baby, don’t cry! After all, if you look at the carrot, it turns out that the victory is Pyrrus. After us in seventh place, our nemesis is Poland with 280,861 cars sold. However, one only needs to estimate that the population is about 38 million and ours 145 million, and it immediately becomes clear that by hypothetically equating the population of the two countries, we will get 1072 thousand self-propelled crews for the Commonwealth, which are very unpleasant for us. Of course, Russia easily bypasses outsiders like Cyprus or Lithuania-Latvia-Estonia by the turn, but somehow it’s not like an adult to rejoice at this.

And here is the third approach to the designated problem. Yes, we are bad. But the sanctions that the West has imposed on us are for that purpose. However, the authors of the economic war did not take into account that it will react when it comes. In other words, Europe will also receive a slap in the stomach a little later. At least, this is what domestic venerable political scientists and economists assure us. Western colleagues agree with them in principle, albeit with a lot of reservations.

Therefore, our difficulties will soon become their difficulties. The crisis of our car market may not be the cause, but the precursor to their crisis. And if, for lack of cheap energy sources, the European economy collapses – as again the Russian gurus tirelessly repeat – then its collapse will be much worse than ours. The higher you sit, the harder it is to fall. But what do we care about other people’s problems? I could handle my own.

Photo by globallookpress.com

There is such an organization as the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA), which will celebrate its “fifty years” in a month’s time. She regularly publishes data on the number of new car registrations in the countries under her control, leading domestic experts to either horrify or delight, depending on the size of the numbers in her releases. Reactions also vary widely, from neutral to full of pain and sadness, from serious to sarcastic. It seems that the latter approach is the right one – nerves must be protected and humor prolongs life.

Here is an illustration. We were so selflessly killed by the tragic fate of the Russian car market that we lost sight of an important point brought to us by ACEA. And he should have filled our hearts with pride in the domestic auto industry. Of course, our country has not formally been a member for a long time, is not and will not be a member of associations such as the European Union or the European Free Trade Association. Therefore, it is only virtually possible to introduce Russia into the reviews compiled for them. But it is possible, because we have data for our own country.

So, according to the results of the first two months of this year – before the introduction of “infernal sanctions” – the Russian Federation was in fifth place among European countries in the number of registered (in our case sold) new cars. As a result of the slump that overtook the domestic car market, we’re down according to aggregate data for January-August – no, not 10th, as you might think, but only 6th. Yes, the European market also fell, albeit not so much – by 12.2%.

Definitely leading the way: Germany with 1,643,069 registrations, the United Kingdom (so far) with 983,099, France with 970,000, Italy with 865,044 and Spain with 533,042 passenger cars. So rule our wretched 410,548 cars? It is possible to secretly triumph – well, we are not the worst, because despite the difficulties, we have bypassed 35 western rivals? Blow the trumpet, trumpeter!

Just baby, don’t cry! After all, if you look at the carrot, it turns out that the victory is Pyrrus. After us in seventh place, our nemesis is Poland with 280,861 cars sold. However, one only needs to estimate that the population is about 38 million and ours 145 million, and it immediately becomes clear that by hypothetically equating the population of the two countries, we will get 1072 thousand self-propelled crews for the Commonwealth, which are very unpleasant for us. Of course, Russia easily bypasses outsiders like Cyprus or Lithuania-Latvia-Estonia by the turn, but somehow it’s not like an adult to rejoice at this.

And here is the third approach to the designated problem. Yes, we are bad. But the sanctions that the West has imposed on us are for that purpose. However, the authors of the economic war did not take into account that it will react when it comes. In other words, Europe will also receive a slap in the stomach a little later. At least, this is what domestic venerable political scientists and economists assure us. Western colleagues agree with them in principle, albeit with a lot of reservations.

Therefore, our difficulties will soon become their difficulties. The crisis of our car market may not be the cause, but the precursor to their crisis. And if, for lack of cheap energy sources, the European economy collapses – as again the Russian gurus tirelessly repeat – then its collapse will be much worse than ours. The higher you sit, the harder it is to fall. But what do we care about other people’s problems? I could handle my own.

Source: Avto Vzglyad

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