According to the Space Weather Prediction Center of the US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency, humanity has just passed some of its most turbulent times, and we should expect some decline in activity in the coming period.

Solar and geomagnetic activity prediction

Solar activity expected very low to low During the forecast period from 14 November to 10 December. During periods there is a possibility of Class M flares and a small chance of Class X flares. 14-16 November and again 28 November – 10 December.

Solar flares are divided into several classes:

• A and B It is the lowest class of solar flares. They are very common and not very interesting.
• C class solar flares They are small solar flares that have almost no effect on Earth. Only long enough bursts of this type can produce coronal mass ejections, but they are usually slow, weak, and rarely cause significant geomagnetic disturbances on Earth.
• M-class solar flares – medium size. They cause minor (R1) and medium (R2) radio interference on the day side of the earth. Solar radiation can cause storms and eject coronal mass. If such a solar flare is recorded near the center of the Earth-facing solar disk and initiates a coronal mass ejection towards our planet, there is a good chance that the resulting geomagnetic storm will be strong enough for the apparent mid-latitude Aurora Borealis.
• And finally, X-class solar flares is the largest and most powerful. These occur about 10 times a year – more during the solar maximum than the minimum. These flares cause radio interference that ranges from strong (R5) to extreme (R5) on the Earth’s daytime surface. If a solar flare erupts and is near the center of the Earth-facing solar disk, it can cause a strong and prolonged storm of solar radiation and a strong (G4) and extreme (G5) geomagnetic storm on Earth.

14-17 November there is a possibility of a slight S1 (small) solar radiation storm. 21 – 29 November and December 25 An electron flow of more than 2 megaelectronvolts (MeV) is expected in the geosynchronous orbit, which is not a high level. In this process, 25 NovemberThe last autumn magnetic storm is expected, which will last for several days.