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In a detailed analysis of the complex situation in the Middle East due to conflict between Israel and Islamist group Hamas presented in Aristegui Live for him Dr.
In a detailed analysis of the complex situation in the Middle East due to conflict between Israel and Islamist group Hamas presented in Aristegui Live for him Dr. Francisco Gil Villegasprofessor and researcher at the Center for International Studies of the College of Mexico (CEI-Colmex), shed light on the current situation. tensions in the region and role Islamic State in this unstable context.
Breaking the dynamics fueling tensions in the Middle East after unprecedented raid and attack by Hamas in Israel, a specialist shared his interpretation of what lies ahead for this region, especially after attack on Iran during mourning celebrations for a national hero Qassem Soleimani.
According to Dr. Gil Villegas, conflict is a network geopolitical and religious interests, where several players seek to expand their influence and power by taking advantage of the war in the Gaza Strip. “To a country that extension is less convenient this conflict is USA“These are the ones who least want the conflict to escalate,” he noted, adding that “they least want the conflict to escalate” because they hope it can be resolved without spreading to more groups and factions.
However, the conflict already includes other Islamist groups How Hezbollah, Houthis and the Islamic State itself.
Despite efforts to prevent further escalation, there are groups, mainly Islamic countries, that have expressed interest in escalating the conflict due to internal divisions among Muslims, especially between Shiites And Sunniwhich have played a decisive role in regional dynamics for hundreds of years.
He Islamic State attack in Iran during the celebration of Sulemani’s death is an example of how these internal conflicts can have wider consequences. “This attack not only constitutes an outright crime to Iran, but also demonstrates internal division deep between Sunni and Shia Muslims,” Villegas explained.
Despite the extensive history, the situation is further complicated by the Israeli invasion of the Gaza Strip on October 7, despite call to jihad, or holy war, a wider regional conflict was not provoked. However, he warns that the situation may change. “There are groups interested in seeing this extend to a global conflict.” he said, pointing to Iran’s support for Hamas as a decisive factor.
“An attack on Iran could have been provoke even greater conflict but what is interesting here is that Iran responded with other characteristics: “it is not interested in a direct conflict with Israel,” however, “it it is impossible for anything else to be encapsulated in Israel“There are too many groups in the Gaza Strip, this Hezbollah in Lebanon, Baghdad in conflict.”
However, he added that last successful jihad dates back to the Middle Ages and complete unity of the Muslim people is difficult since “there will be skirmishes and confrontations between Islamic groups, as has happened historically for many centuries.”
Regarding the United States, he mentioned that President Joe Biden faces significant dilemma regarding the conflict, since “the most affected power will be the United States, mainly with President Biden,” he commented, comparing the current situation with 1980 Iran Hostage Crisissuggesting that extremist groups may view Biden as a vulnerable political target and use this jihad to benefit their Republican rivals.
Finally he turned to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s statements about the future of the Gaza Strip, emphasizing that their peace proposal, which they proposed, includes Israeli military control of the areaThis could lead to even greater tensions, despite the intention to hand over political control to the Islamic State, which is currently in the West Bank.
The full interview can be viewed here Aristegui live:
Source: Aristegui Noticias
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