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AI-powered disinformation is the next big global risk from the climate crisis.

  • January 10, 2024
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Spreading false or misleading information using artificial intelligence (AI) costs as much new major global risk in the short term, along with the climate crisis, according to a

AI-powered disinformation is the next big global risk from the climate crisis.

Spreading false or misleading information using artificial intelligence (AI) costs as much new major global risk in the short term, along with the climate crisis, according to a report presented this Wednesday World Economic Forum (WEF).

“Global Risks 2024”prepared by insurers Marsh McLennan and Zurich Insurance Groupcollects the perception of some 1500 experts were explored in September about the potential dangers two and ten years into the future, and will be discussed next week in Davos Forum (Switzerland).

“Unlike 2023, which saw long-term optimism, these results reflect negative forecast for the next two years the situation has been getting worse for a decade,” the WEF director said at a press conference in London. Saadia Zahidi.

While he acknowledged that these expectations are “discouraging,” Zahidi reminded that political and economic leaders must take action “now” to change the situation.

AI in an election year

According to the experts surveyed, the most serious global risk the world will face in the near future is the use of AI national and international villains with the aim contribute to social polarization and political divisions.

According to the report, this is particularly worrying in a year when elections in many countriesincluding the UK, US, Mexico, Bangladesh, India, Indonesia and Pakistan.

The spread of disinformation online “can undermine the legitimacy of elected governments” and in some cases provoke everything from violent protests and hate crimes to terrorism, he points out.

On the other hand, states may respond “with propaganda” defending “your truth” and with “censorship,” Zahidi warned.

Caroline Clint, Marsh McLennan’s commercial director for Europe, urged companies to protect themselves from the impact that the emergence of AI could have on “increasingly complex supply chains”.

Photo: Reuters

However, he also highlighted its “tremendous benefits” both for increasing economic productivity and improving public services.

Study warns that there will be huge inequality on the planet if the incentives for the development of artificial intelligence “are only commercial and geopolitical in nature.”

Unless public interest prevails, “the digital divide between high- and low-income countries will create marked inequalities in the distribution of benefits and risks,” he says.

Vulnerable countries and some communities will be left “further behind and digitally isolated,” with impacts on their growth, finances, climate, education or health, which in turn will “could lead to further social unrest and political radicalization”.

More conflicts and natural disasters

Another global risk highlighted in this year’s report is the risk armed conflicts interstate, for “contagion effect” current wars, which can activate currently “frozen” fronts.

Experts also see a growing risk that military conflicts will increasingly be dominated by AI, both through computer attacks and through its introduction into decision-making processes, such as the selection of military targets.

The Global Risks report, published since 2009, names another year as the year great danger both in the short and long term climate crisisWith Natural disasters expected as early as 2024.

However, the authors note that “there is no consensus among respondents” regarding the inevitability and intensity of these riskswhich, he warns, could undermine good management of them.

Photo: Reuters

Thus, younger participants and members of civil society tend to see high risk as early as the next two years, while older people and the private sector perceive it in the longer term.

Climate-vulnerable or conflict-prone countries, study warns “will be increasingly excluded from much-needed digital and physical infrastructure” and green investments and other economic and commercial resources.

“As the adaptive capacity of these fragile states is further weakened, social relations and environmental impacts are intensified,” the text says.

John Scott, head of sustainability risk at Zurich Insurance Group, said that while “The world is fragmented and no longer works through cooperation.”there are “opportunities at national, local and individual levels” to improve the situation.

On the one hand, aware of these perceived risks, governments and companies can begin to make decisions in their territories to mitigate them, while citizens can take beneficial initiatives such as eating less meat or using environmentally friendly modes of transport, he said .

EFE

Source: Aristegui Noticias

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