The NAPI release, published at the end of last year, said that according to the pessimistic scenario, the Chinese will sell 150,000 new cars in Russia in 2023, according to the base – 210,000, and according to the optimistic – 260,000. , which appeared in mid-May, is much higher: 269,600, 295,200 and 319,500 cars respectively.
At the same time, it is curious that NAPI analysts in the same December report assumed that AVTOVAZ would only reach 70% of its production plan for 2023 (production of 400,000 vehicles) (according to the base case). If this is the case, the Chinese will bypass the domestic auto giant by the end of this year. Even under the impossible condition that LADA dealers will hand over to the buyers all cars that have left the assembly line without exception.
By the way, if you look at the sales results of the first four months of the year (according to the data of the Association of European Businesses), you can see that the “heavenly” auto brands AVTOVAZ are already on their heels . In January-April, LADA sold 91,875 cars, and brands from China in total – about 80,000. It is difficult to say more precisely, since the leader of the Chinese segment, Chery, does not send information to the AEB every month, but once a quarter.