Why Chinese ‘childfree’ will force Russian car owners to switch to self-driving cars
- October 30, 2023
- 0
At first glance, the birth rate in a certain Germany or China has nothing at all to do with the Russian car market. In fact, we will very
At first glance, the birth rate in a certain Germany or China has nothing at all to do with the Russian car market. In fact, we will very soon face the radical consequences of foreign demographic processes.
Let’s say for a start that all so-called “developed” countries, including Russia, are experiencing extremely unpleasant processes with their population. For example, in our country, according to various forecasts, the number of people in Russia is expected to decrease in 20-25 years (by the middle of the century) from the current 140 million to about 100-120 million people. And the average fertility rate (TFR) will not exceed 1.5 – that is, the average woman will have no more than 1.5 children. Despite the fact that to maintain the population at current levels, this figure must be at least slightly higher than 2 children. And the influx of migrants to Russia (which many fear) will not change this trend.
But this is all nonsense compared to these kinds of problems in the largest Asian countries. In Japan, for example, the economic miracle of the last century led to the fact that among the population the issue of reproduction, among other life goals, faded to tenth place. Prioritizing achieving personal success and prosperity.
Over the past thirty years, the TFR in Japan has fluctuated between 1.2 and 1.5. This will reduce the population of the islands to less than 100 million, mostly very elderly citizens, by 2050. Who will witness the near-complete annihilation of their own nation.
The South Korean economy followed the path of the ‘Asian Tigers’ slightly later than Japan, but the country achieved demographic anti-success much faster. Koreans already have a TFR of less than 0.75 children per woman and it continues to decline.
The prospects for the South Korean state are moderate, as the population of North Korea is already twice (!) as large as the population of the south of the Korean Peninsula.
China, with its powerful economy, is following the same path. For the most part, residents prefer the race for wealth and success over having children. And as experience shows, no “goodies” from the state can change this mood. Demographers believe that by the end of the century the population of the Celestial Empire will be reduced from the current 1.4 billion plus to 800 to 900 million citizens, most of whom will be old people.
It will become increasingly difficult for the aging mass of citizens to drive their own car. For this reason, the automotive industry will soon simply be forced to switch to the production of predominantly unmanned vehicles with an increasing degree of autonomy. Russia is, at least for the coming decades, ‘tied’ to China and the Asian car industry in general. That is, very soon we will see a powerful flow of unmanned vehicles, the production of which by the same Chinese will inevitably be reoriented over the next decade. Non-autonomous vehicles are rare.
Against this background, unmanned infrastructure will also be created in Russia (in a semi-mandatory manner). In the so-called Siberian taiga, its creation is problematic, but organizing the kingdom “Big Brother” on the roads of the European part of the country is quite possible. Here every movement of the vast majority of vehicles will be controlled by electronic algorithms, the “control panel” of which will be in the hands of the authorities… The dream of a state law enforcement officer…
photo globallookpress.com
Let’s say for a start that all so-called “developed” countries, including Russia, are experiencing extremely unpleasant processes with their population. For example, in our country, according to various forecasts, the number of people in Russia is expected to decrease in 20-25 years (by the middle of the century) from the current 140 million to about 100-120 million people. And the average fertility rate (TFR) will not exceed 1.5 – that is, the average woman will have no more than 1.5 children. Despite the fact that to maintain the population at current levels, this figure must be at least slightly higher than 2 children. And the influx of migrants to Russia (which many fear) will not change this trend.
But this is all nonsense compared to these kinds of problems in the largest Asian countries. In Japan, for example, the economic miracle of the last century led to the fact that among the population the issue of reproduction, among other life goals, faded to tenth place. Prioritizing achieving personal success and prosperity.
Over the past thirty years, the TFR in Japan has fluctuated between 1.2 and 1.5. This will reduce the population of the islands to less than 100 million, mostly very elderly citizens, by 2050. Who will witness the near-complete annihilation of their own nation.
The South Korean economy followed the path of the ‘Asian Tigers’ slightly later than Japan, but the country achieved demographic anti-success much faster. Koreans already have a TFR of less than 0.75 children per woman and it continues to decline.
The prospects for the South Korean state are moderate, as the population of North Korea is already twice (!) as large as the population of the south of the Korean Peninsula.
China, with its powerful economy, is following the same path. For the most part, residents prefer the race for wealth and success over having children. And as experience shows, no “goodies” from the state can change this mood. Demographers believe that by the end of the century the population of the Celestial Empire will be reduced from the current 1.4 billion plus to 800 to 900 million citizens, most of whom will be old people.
It will become increasingly difficult for the aging mass of citizens to drive their own car. For this reason, the automotive industry will soon simply be forced to switch to the production of predominantly unmanned vehicles with an increasing degree of autonomy. Russia is, at least for the coming decades, ‘tied’ to China and the Asian car industry in general. That is, very soon we will see a powerful flow of unmanned vehicles, the production of which by the same Chinese will inevitably be reoriented over the next decade. Non-autonomous vehicles are rare.
Against this background, unmanned infrastructure will also be created in Russia (in a semi-mandatory manner). In the so-called Siberian taiga, its creation is problematic, but organizing the kingdom “Big Brother” on the roads of the European part of the country is quite possible. Here every movement of the vast majority of vehicles will be controlled by electronic algorithms, the “control panel” of which will be in the hands of the authorities… The dream of a state law enforcement officer…
Source: Avto Vzglyad
Donald Salinas is an experienced automobile journalist and writer for Div Bracket. He brings his readers the latest news and developments from the world of automobiles, offering a unique and knowledgeable perspective on the latest trends and innovations in the automotive industry.
