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How the echoes of the Turkish earthquake will end the Russian car market

  • February 15, 2023
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Some time ago, planet Earth had to deal with Turkey in particular. But this is not the end of the drama. It seems that the “Turkish bitches” that

How the echoes of the Turkish earthquake will end the Russian car market
Some time ago, planet Earth had to deal with Turkey in particular. But this is not the end of the drama. It seems that the “Turkish bitches” that have already taken place can quite spoil the Russian car market. The AutoVzglyad portal tells exactly how this will happen.

Turkey was hit by an earthquake. Tens of thousands of victims, destruction, macroeconomists calculate the extent of the damage to the country’s economy. But so far no one has bothered to calculate the losses of the Russian auto industry from the Turkish disaster. The reason for the visible problems for us lies in the fact that the Turks have traditionally supplied a huge assortment of spare parts and auto parts to the Russian market. More than 1,000 local companies produce many types of car parts – from suspension and steering parts to plastic interior elements, batteries, drives and electronic components.

Industrial buildings, as far as one can judge, were not badly damaged even in the earthquake zone. But many of them are still not working, because the employees are now massively engaged in cleaning up debris. And temporary shelters for people who have been left without housing and warehouses for humanitarian aid have been set up in the buildings of a number of companies. In addition, the disaster has disabled transportation infrastructure. So we can confidently talk about the disruption of the supply of many batches of Turkish auto parts to Russia.

But this is half the trouble. Even worse, the echoes of that natural disaster could trigger similar disasters in neighboring regions. For example, on the territory of neighboring Iran, which is friendly with Russia. Which is also located in places that are not the most peaceful in a tectonic sense. Quite recently, in the summer of last year, a strong earthquake occurred in the south of this country.

Then the death toll was not as bad as it is now in Turkey. But the fact itself is characteristic. He says Iran, viewed by many in Russia as a potential supplier of cars and scarce parts, could take a powerful blow from the elements at any moment. The Persians will immediately no longer be able to deliver their cars to Russia. As a result, our market loses another potential “growth point”.

A less obvious, but much more important aspect of the probable problems of the Russian car market is related to the fact that presidential elections will be held in Turkey in mid-May this year. The tragedy, or rather the dissatisfaction of the Turks with the way incumbent President Erdogan’s government is dealing with the fallout, will push voters to vote against him. And Rejep’s political rivals are all against benevolent relations with Russia. Each of them, having come to power, will cut the main economic ties with our country, not only Turkey, but also Azerbaijan, which has long become a satellite of the latter.

With such a development of events, the Russian auto industry loses not only spare parts for repairs, but also deliveries of cars from Europe and the Emirates. And given the close ties of the Turks with the authorities of the Central Asian republics, the prospect of closing the “tap” to the receipt of fuel from Kazakhstan also looms … After that, the Russian car market and the car industry will have been forgotten. It will eventually become just a small appendage of Chinese…

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Turkey was hit by an earthquake. Tens of thousands of victims, destruction, macroeconomists calculate the extent of the damage to the country’s economy. But so far no one has bothered to calculate the losses of the Russian auto industry from the Turkish disaster. The reason for the visible problems for us lies in the fact that the Turks have traditionally supplied a huge assortment of spare parts and auto parts to the Russian market. More than 1,000 local companies produce many types of car parts – from suspension and steering parts to plastic interior elements, batteries, drives and electronic components.

Industrial buildings, as far as one can judge, were not badly damaged even in the earthquake zone. But many of them are still not working, because the employees are now massively engaged in cleaning up debris. And temporary shelters for people who have been left without housing and warehouses for humanitarian aid have been set up in the buildings of a number of companies. In addition, the disaster has disabled transportation infrastructure. So we can confidently talk about the disruption of the supply of many batches of Turkish auto parts to Russia.

But this is half the trouble. Worse globally, the echoes of that natural disaster could trigger a similar catastrophe in neighboring regions. For example, on the territory of neighboring Iran, which is friendly with Russia. Which is also located in places that are not the most peaceful in a tectonic sense. Quite recently, in the summer of last year, a powerful earthquake occurred in the south of this country.

Then the death toll was not as bad as it is now in Turkey. But the fact itself is characteristic. He says Iran, viewed by many in Russia as a potential supplier of cars and scarce parts, could take a powerful blow from the elements at any moment. The Persians will immediately no longer be able to deliver their cars to Russia. As a result, our market loses another potential “growth point”.

A less obvious, but much more important aspect of the probable problems of the Russian car market is related to the fact that presidential elections will be held in Turkey in mid-May this year. The tragedy, or rather the dissatisfaction of the Turks with the way incumbent President Erdogan’s government is dealing with the fallout, will push voters to vote against him. And Rejep’s political rivals are all against benevolent relations with Russia. Each of them, having come to power, will cut the main economic ties with our country, not only Turkey, but also Azerbaijan, which has long become a satellite of the latter.

With such a development of events, the Russian auto industry loses not only spare parts for repairs, but also deliveries of cars from Europe and the Emirates. And given the close ties of the Turks with the authorities of the Central Asian republics, the prospect of closing the “tap” to the receipt of fuel from Kazakhstan also looms … After that, the Russian car market and the car industry will have been forgotten. It ends up being just a small appendage of Chinese…

Source: Avto Vzglyad

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