When will this happen?

Of course, no one can say the exact date, but predictions suggest that it will happen somewhere Mid 2080s – slightly earlier than previously estimated. Thus, the current population of 8.2 billion will reach its maximum within the next 60 years.

A small drop of 700 million people is expected immediately after that, meaning there will be 6 percent fewer people on the planet than predicted in 2013 calculations.

The demographic landscape has changed significantly in recent years.
– said UN Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs Li Junhua.

According to him, the unexpected decline in population will be due to a variety of factors, including the low birth rate in some of the world’s largest countries, especially China.

A UN official says so a hopeful signAs the world grapples with global warming: Fewer people will mean less overall consumption and less pressure on the environment. “But slower population growth will not eliminate the need to reduce the average statistical impact associated with each individual’s activities,” he adds.

How will the population increase?

• The report says more than a quarter of the world’s population (or 28 percent) now lives in one of 63 countries or regions where populations have peaked, including China, Japan and Germany. Nearly 50 more countries, including Brazil, Iran and Turkey, will join the group in the next 30 years.
• Population growth will continue in more than 120 countries, including India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan and the United States.
• The increase in global life expectancy, which was interrupted by the Covid pandemic, resumed in 2024 with an average life expectancy of 73.3 years. In 2054, the average will be 77.4 years.
• Thus, the world population will age. The research predicts that by the end of the 2070s, the number of people aged 65 and over will reach 2.2 billion, surpassing the population under the age of 18.