For months, governments around the world have warned Europe of the approaching harsh winter amid a brutal energy crisis, with gas prices soaring due to the war between Russia and Ukraine. French President Emmanuel Macron has warned of a “scenario that we will have to manage without gas”. However, the nightmare of the households does not seem to be coming, in fact Natural gas prices head for fourth decline in Europe weekly.

What’s going on? no cold. Unusually warm weather across the continent is delaying the heating season. And for now, the blow that families hope to resist is not coming.

prepared for disaster. For months, we’ve been telling Magnet how the Germans are preparing for the worst winter since WWII by emptying their stove shelves. Rising gas prices and Fear of not being able to pay the heating bill (even obsolete), stoves were among the many alternative devices for heating. Sales continued to increase It sold approximately 600,000 units in the first six months of 2022.

Another alternative that has become popular in Spain is purchase of firewood for heating houses. Wood dealers state that sales have skyrocketed as a savings measure due to the increase in electricity.

The hottest October. However, what we found is a France experiencing summer temperatures in mid-October. Caused by the jet stream, much of Western Europe is expected to reach unusually warm autumn temperatures, with numbers reaching 20C this weekend in the UK, Germany, France and other countries.

There’s a good chance that October 2022 will even go down in history as Europe’s warmest October. According to climatologist Mika RantanenFrom the Finnish Meteorological Institute.

gas price. This is causing natural gas futures to drop 1.4% weekly, Bloomberg reported. With the heaters still off, above-average temperatures are expected to last through mid-November. Combined with weak industrial demand, this phenomenon eases fears of scarcity from massive supply cuts from Russia.

According to the country’s Federal Network Agency, hot weather helped gas consumption in Germany last week to fall about 30% below the corresponding weekly average for 2018-2021. Weaker demand allows gas to be sent to landfills that are already nearly full.

longer summers. Spain has been stable in maximum temperatures for six months since May. And we don’t know when. A 2019 Aemet study suggested this hot season is now 40 days longer In addition, more tropical nights are being recorded (where it doesn’t fall below 20°), something completely unusual that has occurred exceptionally on some days in the past but hasn’t been repeated.

And is this climate change causing significant changes in the mold and the duration of these seasons. A new study published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters He states that global warming makes the summer months hotter and longer, while reducing the other three seasons. Summers in the Northern Hemisphere, if kept the same, could last almost six months until the year 2100.

Winter that must come one day. While the conditions ease the countries, the uncertainty regarding Europe’s policy to contain the energy crisis worries everyone. Despite the recent decline, prices are still three times higher than the five-year average for this time of year. It will be more difficult to replenish stocks when the time comes, without the usual supply of Russian gas, and the US supply may not be enough.

The energy crisis is not only a problem of scarcity for countries, but it will hit where it hurts the most: the cost of living for families, with a family. fast rising inflation. Some households will have to make a firm choice between heating and other basic needs.

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