April 30, 2025
Science

A newly discovered asteroid could collide with Earth in 2046; understand the danger

  • March 10, 2023
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A recently discovered asteroid called 2023DWattracted the attention of astronomers European Space Agency. According to the list of risks maintained by the Department of Near-Earth Object Studies, the

A newly discovered asteroid could collide with Earth in 2046;  understand the danger

A recently discovered asteroid called 2023DWattracted the attention of astronomers European Space Agency. According to the list of risks maintained by the Department of Near-Earth Object Studies, the chance of a meteor impacting the planet in February 2046 is 1 in 625.

Although the probability of being struck is relatively low, it is considered a high risk due to the significant damage it can cause. It is estimated that the asteroid is about 50 meters long, the size of an Olympic swimming pool, and although it should not threaten human life, it should be monitored.

However, due to the distance from the predicted date and the lack of information about the exact shape of the object, there is no certainty that its route has us as a “target”. Over the years, scientists can make recalculations and come to the conclusion that the best that can happen is an approximation – and such redefinitions are common in astronomy. In the case of 2023DW, there is still a lot of unknown information about it, which makes the chances of a new study even greater.

Mankind already has a “space defense” for cases like

Although the asteroid is not large enough to cause catastrophic damage, the discovery highlights the importance of keeping a close eye on near-Earth objects that could pose a threat. So NASA and other agencies are working on disaster prevention systems and strengthening our “space defenses.” Such is the case with the DART mission, which can be used to change the object’s orbit slightly and avoid a collision.

The aforementioned spacecraft was even tested in 2022, and its effectiveness was confirmed by studies published in early March, which confirmed the diversion on the moon Dimorphos, used as a “guinea pig”. In short, although astronomers are keeping a close eye on the asteroid, there is no reason to panic at the moment because, in addition to the fact that the chances of a collision are low, we already have the resources to protect ourselves – and by 2046 we will have even more.

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