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For the fulfillment of dreams: the Ministry of Industry and Trade is sure that the Russian car market will recover in seven years

  • September 1, 2023
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The Ministry of Industry and Commerce has finally released its forecast for the future. Production of passenger cars in Russia will reach 700 thousand units in 2024 and

For the fulfillment of dreams: the Ministry of Industry and Trade is sure that the Russian car market will recover in seven years
The Ministry of Industry and Commerce has finally released its forecast for the future. Production of passenger cars in Russia will reach 700 thousand units in 2024 and reach 1.6 million units only in 2035. The AvtoVzglyad portal believes that such prospects testify to the complete helplessness of this department.

Thus, the Cabinet of Ministers as a whole has approved the consolidated strategy for the development of the manufacturing industry of the Russian Federation up to 2030 and for the period up to 2035, prepared by the Ministry of Industry and Trade. Naturally, it is not only devoted to the automotive industry, but a few words are also said about him, my dear.

pardon my French

“The priority groups of automotive products and target values ​​in terms of output are: passenger cars with an annual production level in 2024 of 0.7 million vehicles, in 2030 – 1.4 million units, in 2035 – 1.6 million units,” the ministry said. , referring to the same strategy. Such a heady swing, n’est-ce pas?

Of course, excuse my French, but 0.7 million in 2024 is really cool, considering that only 197,000 cars rolled off Russian conveyors in the first six months of the current year. Thanks to what kind of reserves will the Ministry of Industry and Trade increase production by more than one and a half times in the shortest possible time?

Such Napoleonic plans are all the more mysterious because the head of the department, Mr. Manturov, himself said the exact opposite: “Despite the good dynamics in the production index, I must conclude that the potential for recovery growth is limited.” And further: “One of the basic indicators of the strategy is an annual increase in production volumes of 4% on average until 2035.”

However, it’s time to get used to the fact that a rare official in our country correlates his words spoken in one place with speeches delivered in another place. And, as a rule, it is not at all necessary to talk about their connection with reality.

Yawning prospects

Now about the brilliant outlook revealed to us by the Ministry of Industry and Trade Strategy. We have been promised that by 2035 we will increase the level of domestic car production to 1.6 million cars. Incredibly thrilling and thrilling. Unless, of course, you try to completely forget that in the pre-sanction year 2021, according to the Avtostat bureau, more than 1.5 million cars rolled off Russian conveyors. In other words, the ministerial figures will restore the market over the next seven years in a form more or less acceptable to the average consumer.

And who do they see as the most important locomotive of the automotive industry? It turns out not to be the Chinese at all, who are becoming more and more comfortable in our open spaces every day.

– It is important to create a competitive industrial sector in our economy with a high export potential, which will ensure the achievement of national development goals. It is intended that this task will be solved by developing technological innovations, digital technologies and human resources by stimulating investment activities and demand for domestic products, as well as increasing export supplies, Mr. Manturov continues to burn.

I would like to ask what kind of technological innovations in the automotive industry the respected minister and even the deputy prime minister of the government of the Russian Federation are talking about, if the real strategy, and not the paper, is completely different – ​​it is still always based on the assembly of foreign cars, which does not bring breakthroughs in engineering design.

Well, the most interesting. The strategy was developed, but entirely without reference to the investment program. The same Denis Manturov, Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Chernyshenko and Finance Minister Anton Siluanov were instructed to prepare proposals on sources of funding and submit them to the government. Once again we put the cart before the horse.

Photo by globallookpress.com
Photo: istockphoto.com

Thus, the Cabinet of Ministers as a whole has approved the consolidated strategy for the development of the manufacturing industry of the Russian Federation up to 2030 and for the period up to 2035, prepared by the Ministry of Industry and Trade. Naturally, it is not only devoted to the automotive industry, but a few words are also said about him, my dear.

pardon my French

“The priority groups of automotive products and target values ​​in terms of output are: passenger cars with an annual production level in 2024 of 0.7 million vehicles, in 2030 – 1.4 million units, in 2035 – 1.6 million units,” the ministry said. , referring to the same strategy. Such a heady swing, n’est-ce pas?

Of course, excuse my French, but 0.7 million in 2024 is really cool, considering that only 197,000 cars rolled off Russian conveyors in the first six months of the current year. Thanks to what kind of reserves will the Ministry of Industry and Trade increase production by more than one and a half times in the shortest possible time?

Such Napoleonic plans are all the more mysterious because the head of the department, Mr. Manturov, himself said the exact opposite: “Despite the good dynamics in the production index, I must note that the potential for recovery growth is limited.” And further: “One of the basic indicators of the strategy is an annual increase in production volumes of 4% on average until 2035.”

However, it’s time to get used to the fact that a rare official in our country correlates his words spoken in one place with speeches delivered in another place. And, as a rule, it is not at all necessary to talk about their connection with reality.

Yawning prospects

Now about the brilliant outlook revealed to us by the Ministry of Industry and Trade Strategy. We have been promised that by 2035 we will increase the level of domestic car production to 1.6 million cars. Incredibly thrilling and thrilling. Unless, of course, you try to completely forget that in the pre-sanction year 2021, according to the Avtostat bureau, more than 1.5 million cars rolled off Russian conveyors. In other words, the ministerial figures will restore the market over the next seven years in a form more or less acceptable to the average consumer.

And who do they see as the most important locomotive of the automotive industry? It turns out not to be the Chinese at all, who are becoming more and more comfortable in our open spaces every day.

– It is important to create a competitive industrial sector in our economy with a high export potential, which will ensure the achievement of national development goals. It is intended that this task will be solved by developing technological innovations, digital technologies and human resources by stimulating investment activities and demand for domestic products, as well as increasing export supplies, Mr. Manturov continues to burn.

I would like to ask what kind of technological innovations in the automotive industry the respected minister and even the deputy prime minister of the government of the Russian Federation are talking about, if the real strategy, and not the paper, is completely different – ​​it is still always based on the assembly of foreign cars, which does not bring breakthroughs in engineering design.

Well, the most interesting. The strategy was developed, but entirely without reference to the investment program. The same Denis Manturov, Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Chernyshenko and Finance Minister Anton Siluanov were instructed to prepare proposals on sources of funding and submit them to the government. Once again we put the cart before the horse.

Source: Avto Vzglyad

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