That is, in their opinion, in the worst case, the domestic market for the current year will show a result of about 760,000 cars. This is all wonderful, but one thing is not clear: where are the ‘technologists’ going to get all those machines they fantasize about? The point is that only 370,200 cars and light commercial vehicles were sold in Russia in the past half of the year. In addition, it should be understood that in just two months, in January-February 2022, before the start of the well-known events and all this sanctions history, almost 200,000 passenger cars were sold on our market. In the next four months – 170,000 and in May-June – only about 60,000.
Simple calculations show that if things continue like this – none of the automakers present in Russia leave us, no new sanctions are introduced and there is no total apocalypse in the economy and geopolitics – by the end of this year the Russian car market will get 200,000 passenger cars elsewhere. That is, for the year, sales put a total of about 570,000 cars. This, we emphasize, is at its best! I don’t want to talk about the worst. What kind of 760,000 are they telling us here? Or, more than that, about 1 million cars?