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High geopolitics will bring down the Russian car market to such an extent that not even China will help

The Russian car enthusiast, mortified by the shortage and exorbitant prices for new and used cars, spare parts and consumables, is patiently waiting for the light at the end of the tunnel in the form of the speedy completion of the SVO. Like, after our victory over the Kiev regime, somehow everything will return to normal and we will live in the familiar world of car abundance. Quite possible of course. But even in this case, other geopolitical factors unrelated to the special operation could strongly negatively impact our auto market and auto industry.

And one of the most important of these is the severe banking crisis in the United States, which has already spread to Europe, and the upcoming Turkish presidential election in May. In the first case, we will soon have a terribly devalued dollar. And since in the global auto industry all calculations are tied to the “evergreen”, any car imports to Russia will rise sharply in price, which we will immediately see on the price tags of the ruble.

And in the second case, if the pro-Western Turkish opposition backed by the United States throws off our kind of friend Recep Erdogan, then the powerful stream of “sanctions” flowing through the Bosphorus into the Russian Federation, dry up. And in fact, Turkish products (spare parts and other auto parts, auto chemicals) will no longer come to us. And here, it seems, all hopes are pinned on the Chinese comrades.

In any case, Russia is not suffocating in the strong friendly embrace of its eastern neighbour. After all, in exchange for aid, the Chinese will demand the highest compensation in the form of full access to our natural resources. Although that is not too bad with their almost inexhaustible reserves. But from the point of view of the automotive industry, it is so simple complete!

After all, at least under certain conditions (for example, the abolition of protective customs duties), they will flood Russia with cheap cars. And to the maximum they will rake up our entire auto industry for themselves, “registering” in Tolyatti, and in Ulyanovsk, and in Nizhny Novgorod, and in Naberezhnye Chelny.

But this is good only from the point of view of the mass consumer. Globally, such an expansion means the complete and unconditional end of the domestic car industry. However, in the next issue of the podcast of the AvtoVzglyad portal, you can learn about all the consequences for the car life of the country of the global changes taking place in the world Here.

And one of the most important of these is the severe banking crisis in the United States, which has already spread to Europe, and the upcoming Turkish presidential election in May. In the first case, we will soon have a terribly devalued dollar. And since in the global auto industry all calculations are tied to the “evergreen”, any car imports to Russia will rise sharply in price, which we will immediately see on the price tags of the ruble.

And in the second case, if the pro-Western Turkish opposition backed by the United States throws off our kind of friend Recep Erdogan, then the powerful stream of “sanctions” flowing through the Bosphorus into the Russian Federation, dry up. And in fact, Turkish products (spare parts and other auto parts, auto chemicals) will no longer come to us. And here, it seems, all hopes are pinned on the Chinese comrades.

In any case, Russia is not suffocating in the strong friendly embrace of its eastern neighbour. After all, in exchange for aid, the Chinese will demand the highest compensation in the form of full access to our natural resources. Although that is not too bad with their almost inexhaustible reserves. But from the point of view of the automotive industry, it is so simple complete!

After all, at least under certain conditions (for example, the abolition of protective customs duties), they will flood Russia with cheap cars. And to the maximum they will rake up our entire auto industry for themselves, “registering” in Tolyatti, and in Ulyanovsk, and in Nizhny Novgorod, and in Naberezhnye Chelny.

But this is good only from the point of view of the mass consumer. Globally, such an expansion means the complete and unconditional end of the domestic car industry. However, in the next issue of the podcast of the AvtoVzglyad portal, you can learn about all the consequences for the car life of the country of the global changes taking place in the world Here.

Source: Avto Vzglyad

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